Narrow search
Showing 191 - 200 of 671,206
Cover Image
In search of leading indicators of economic activity in Germany
Bandholz, Harm; Funke, Michael - 2001
In this paper we present two new composite leading indicators of economicactivity in Germany estimated using a dynamic factor model with and withoutregime switching. The obtained optimal inferences of business cycle turningpoints indicate that the two-state regime switching procedure leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400394
Cover Image
Corporate yield curves as predictors of future economic and financial indicators
Saar, Dan; Yagil, Yossi - In: Applied economics 47 (2015) 19/21, pp. 1997-2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513396
Cover Image
An automatic leading indicator, variable reduction and variable selection methods using small and large datasets : forecasting the industrial production growth for euro area econom...
Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo; Kapetanios, George; Papailias, Fotis - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516546
Cover Image
An evaluation of business survey indices for short-term forecasting : balance method versus Carlson-Parkin method
Vermeulen, Philip - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 882-897
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517780
Cover Image
Using newspapers for tracking the business cycle : a comparative study for Germany and Switzerland
Iselin, David; Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: Applied economics 48 (2016) 10/12, pp. 1103-1118
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432925
Cover Image
Leading indicators of financial stress : new evidence
Vašíček, Bořek; Žigraiová, Diana; Hoeberichts, Marco - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283835
Cover Image
Forecasting national recessions using state-level data
Owyang, Michael T.; Piger, Jeremy Max; Wall, Howard J. - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 47 (2015) 5, pp. 847-866
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011345143
Cover Image
Forecasting US recessions with macro factors
Fossati, Sebastian - In: Applied economics 47 (2015) 52/54, pp. 5726-5738
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348871
Cover Image
Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany
Savin, Ivan; Winker, Peter - In: Journal of business cycle measurement and analysis : a … (2012) 2, pp. 67-89
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764128
Cover Image
Predicting recessions with leading indicators : model averaging and selection over the business cycle
Berge, Travis J. - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770764