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The process of European integration has gained considerable momentum during the past couple of years. This paper provides an assessment of the degree of integration of both the accession states of central and eastern Europe and of the pre-ins for monetary union with respect to Germany. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474986
We jointly estimate the natural rate of interest, the natural rate of unemployment, expected inflation, and potential … output for the Euro area, the United States, Sweden, Australia, and the United Kingdom. Particular attention is paid to time …-variation in (i) the data-generation process for inflation, which we capture via a time-varying parameters specification for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316896
Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010248220
information for future output and inflation because of its impact on financial spreads. And so we decompose broad money into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003784936
Marshall made at least four contributions to the classical quantity theory. He endowed it with his Cambridge cash-balance money-supply-and-demand framework to explain how the nominal money supply relative to real money demand determines the price level. He combined it with the assumption of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097087
inflation is inertial. Microeconomic data indicate that firms change prices frequently. We formulate and estimate a model which … resolves this apparent micro - macro conflict. Our model is consistent with post-war U.S. evidence on inflation inertia even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584699
. Positively, we find that inflation and unemployment differentials strongly depend on the underlying labor market structures … prices ; inflation differentials ; optimal monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003891881
Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models combine microeconomic behavioural foundations with a full-system Bayesian likelihood estimation approach using key macro-economic variables. Because of the usefulness of this class ofmodels for addressing questions regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009355420