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Das Leistungsbilanzdefizit der Vereinigten Staaten ist in seiner gegenwärtigen Höhe von 6½ Prozent des Bruttoinlandsprodukts dauerhaft nicht tragfähig. Verschiedene weltwirtschaftliche Entwicklungen wirken allerdings darauf hin, dass sich das Defizit langfristig auf ein tragfähiges Niveau...
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the presence of borrowing and lending constraints on that bond. In a US versus the rest of the world (RoW) scenario, we … consumption risk relative to the rest of the world, and therefore decreases its motives for precautionary asset holdings relative … to the rest of the world. As a result of these asymmetric shifts in countries’ barriers to capital mobility, the US runs …
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This paper reviews three different concepts of equilibrium exchange rates that are widely used in policy analysis and constitute the backbone of the IMF CGER assessment: the Macroeconomic Balance, the External Sustainability and the reduced form approaches. We raise a number of econometric...
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