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We develop an optimal trend following trading rule in a bull-bear switching market, where the drift of the stock price switches between two parameters corresponding to an uptrend (bull market) and a downtrend (bear market) according to an unobservable Markov chain. We consider a finite horizon...
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This paper is concerned with the optimality of a trend following trading rule. The idea is to catch a bull market at its early stage, ride the trend, and liquidate the position at the first evidence of the subsequent bear market. We characterize the bull and bear phases of the markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038742
This paper summarizes the results of its detailed version, which considers optimal infinite horizon stochastic production planning problems with capacity and demand to be finite state Markov chains. Turnpike set concepts are introduced to characterize the optimal inventory levels. It is shown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834925
This paper presents a state-of-the-art review of asymptotic analyses of hierarchical manufacturing systems with stochastic demand and machines subject to breakdown and repair. The rate of change in machine states is much larger than the rate of fluctuation in demand and the rate of discounting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835064
This paper presents an asymptotic analysis of hierarchical investment and production decisions in a manufacturing system with machines subject to breakdown and repair. The demand facing the system is assumed to be a given constant. The production capacity can be increased by purchasing a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835071
This paper presents an asymptotic analysis of hier­archical marketing-production systems with stochastic demand and stochastic production capacity (machines are subject to bre­akdown and repair). Our control variables are advertising and production rates which influence demand and inventory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835285