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economics and financial markets, the effects of combining multiple news shocks on the volatility of tourism demand have not yet … GJRGARCH-FFNSs model is the best model for Malaysian tourism demand volatility forecasting accuracy. Furthermore, KLCI and Gold … asymmetry impacts on tourism demand volatility. …
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This paper uses several macroeconomic and financial indicators within a Markov Switching (MS) framework to predict the turning points of the business cycle. The presented model is applied to monthly German real-time data covering the recession and the recovery after the financial crisis. We show...
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