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Macroeconomic volatility, predictability, and uncertainty in the great moderation : evidence from the survey of professional forecasters

Campbell, Sean D. - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 25 (2007) 2, pp. 191-200

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003463635

The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the U.S. economy

Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik - 2010

This paper investigates the accuracy and heterogeneity of output growth and inflation forecasts during the current and the four preceding NBER-dated U.S. recessions. We generate forecasts from six different models of the U.S. economy and compare them to professional forecasts from the Federal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973758

The economic outlook for 2011 : papers presented to the 58th Annual Economic and Social Outlook Conference at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, November 18 and 19, 2009

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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008904194

Evaluating the potential for a recession in 2008

Labonte, Marc - In: Recessions : prospects and developments, (pp. 45-64). 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948292

Forecasting the resurgence of the US economy in 2010: an expert judgment approach

Blair, Andrew R.; Mandelker, Gershon N.; Saaty, Thomas L.; … - In: Socio-economic planning sciences : the international … 44 (2010) 3, pp. 114-121

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003989758

The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy

Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik H. - 2010

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994007

Konjunkturschlaglicht: Fragile Konjunktur in den USA

Bräuninger, Michael - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 90 (2010) 12, pp. 851-852

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008778643

USA: die Zeichen stehen auf Rezession

Scheide, Joachim - In: Wirtschaftsprognose : Konjunktur und Kapitalmärkte, … (2009), pp. 28-31

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779512

Statement of Douglas W. Elmendorf, the state of the economy and issues in developing an effective policy response before the Committee on the Budget, US House of Representatives

Elmendorf, Douglas W. - In: Economic stimulus : plans, risks and outlook, (pp. 184-208). 2010

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008840384

Immobilienkrise in den Vereinigten Staaten : historischer Vergleich und Implikationen für den Konjunkturverlauf

Dovern, Jonas (contributor); Jannsen, Nils (contributor) - 2008

Die spürbare Dämpfung der Konjunktur in den Vereinigten Staaten infolge der Immobilienmarktkrise dürfte bis ins Jahr … Konjunktur aufgrund der starken Entwicklung während des vergangenen Sommerhalbjahres wahrscheinlich weniger in Mitleidenschaft …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003685273