This paper relates two canonical issues in macroeconomics: the effect of technological progress on the real exchange rate and the effect of technological progress on the natural rate of unemployment. In the context of a Ricardian model with traded and nontraded goods, I show that technological...

In a little over one year, Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) will enter its third and final phase. As the date of 1st January 1999 approaches, the debate over European monetary unification is accelerating. The time has come, therefore, to shift our attention from the legal and technical issues...

In this paper we test for deterministic chaos in seven East European black market exchange rates, using Koedjik and Kool's (1992) monthly data from January 1955 through May 1990.

In this paper we construct an archetype CGE model and apply it to six sub-Saharan African countries to explore the impact of scaling up infrastructure in African countries. As part of the debate on the importance of scaling up infrastructure to stimulate growth and provide a push to African...

This paper constructs a general quilibrium trade model of a small open economy producing an exported good, an imported good and a non-traded good by using two or more factors of production, one of which, namely capital, is imperfectly internationally mobile.

We use Greek data during 1960-1994 to test and estimate a model in which wage inflation, price inflation and unemployment depend on the exchange rate regime, the identity of the political party in power and whether an election is expected to take place.

This study identifies common features of currency crises in 15 emerging countries over the period 1980-1998. By analyzinf such features, we build an early-warning system aimed at predicting looming crises in probabilistic terms.

This paper uses daily exchange rates from the mark/franc, dollar/mark and dollar/yen markets in the period between November 2, 1994 and September 21, 1995, to examine the predictive content of two option-implied indicators on future spot rates.