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Winner stocks have higher changes in sales order backlogs and a sales order backlog factor is significant in explaining various winner minus loser returns and often reduces the [alpha]s by big margins. We argue that this factor is a proxy for innovation in demand in the economy and it is likely...
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High oil beta stocks earn higher returns than low oil beta stocks following periods of positive relationship between oil price changes and the aggregate market return, or following periods of favorable aggregate demand shock for industry commodities, and vice versa. When excluding high and low...
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Many anomalies are based on firm characteristics and are rebalanced yearly, ignoring any information during the year. In this paper, we provide dynamic trading strategies to rebalance the anomaly portfolios monthly. For eight major anomalies, we find that these dynamic trading strategies...
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We show strong over-extrapolation of earnings in the I/B/E/S managerial guidance. Firms whose earnings are less persistent, less volatile, or more salient exhibit more extrapolation. Managers who observe rapid growth in their local housing market also demonstrate more extrapolation, albeit...
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