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The aim of the paper is to understand the interaction between market and credit risk. Using a comprehensive set of Italian data, we apply a factor model to identify the common sources of risk driving fluctuations in the real and financial sectors. The common latent factors are then inserted in a...
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In credit risk management migration matrices are major inputs for many applications, including the determination of Value-at-Risk or derivative pricing. After reviewing distance measures for migration matrices we motivate and propose new directed difference indices to measure changes in...
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We extend the model presented in Bonollo et al. by introducing a multiscenario framework that allows for a richer and more realistic specification, including non-static (stochastic) probabilities of default and losses given default. Though more complex from a computational point of view, the...
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We provide an analytical VaR approach for the credit portfolio with liquidity horizon and the constant level of risk. Given any time horizon, a two period credit portfolio loss model is derived and, at the end of the first period, the portfolio is rebalanced to ensure a constant level risk of...
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