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Euro Area economies to a one percent shock in government consumption and business confidence. The evidence suggests that … even though the response to a government consumption shock is strong, a shock in expectations has an even greater effect …
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risk. An adverse supply shock leads to a deterioration of firms' riskiness 10 per cent above the average PD. Contractionary …
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trade balance. The contractionary euro area monetary policy shock decreases Russian GDP, leads to real appreciation of the …
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sign restrictions. The results reveal that both a policy interest rate shock and a balance sheet shock have a positive and … temporary impact on house prices in Finland, with the response to a balance sheet shock being smaller and fading out faster. The … peak of the effect of a policy rate shock on house prices in Finland arrives faster than in the whole euro area but the …
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To investigate how economies, financial markets or institutions can deal with stress, we nowadays often analyze the effects of shocks conditional on a recession or a bear market. MSVAR models are ideally suited for such analyses because they combine gradual movement with sudden switches. In this...
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