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Oil prices are often considered as a vital economic factor due to the dependence of the world economy on oil. The goal of this paper is to contribute to the literature on the dynamic relationship between oil prices and stock prices under the presence of possible structural breaks in an emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168537
We use a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model to study nonlinearities in the expectationformation process in the US stock market. To this end, we use data from the Livingston survey to investigate how the importance of regressive and extrapolative expectations fluctuates over time as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011170367
In this article we construct a simple open-economy macro model to examine how capital flows, monetary policy and dividend policies of firms influence asset prices, economic activity and inflation. In this model, we consider a three-asset framework based on domestic money, domestic equity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011171377
The study applies the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) bivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model of Engle (2002) in order to capture the contagion effects during global financial crisis. We used daily stock returns for the period January...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011171380
Focusing on five major emerging markets, I investigate the interactions between credit default swap premiums, foreign exchange rates, local currency government bond spreads, and national stock market returns over the period 4/2/2007 to 8/27/2009. Empirical analysis indicates that bond markets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185599
In 2014, the domestic money market saw the onset of a new wave of crisis, manifesting itself in capital outflow, a world’s record plunge of the Russian stock indices, the ruble’s devaluation, the surge in the key interest rate and interest rates in the interbank lending market. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185642
One of the problems associated with the conservation of the environment is that short-lived individuals fail to account for the long-term effects of pollution, which implies that future generations bear the costs imposed by the current generation. Such inter-generational externalities are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011043426
We present a simple agent-based model to study the development of a bubble and the consequential crash and investigate how their proximate triggering factor might relate to their fundamental mechanism, and vice versa. Our agents invest according to their opinion on future price movements, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048104
Although a lot of empirical research has studied the relationship between changes in oil prices and economic activity, it is surprising that little research has been conducted on the relationship between oil price shocks and the large Newly Industrialized Economies (NIEs). Therefore, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048270
This study examines the sensitivity of the Spanish stock market at the industry level to movements in oil prices over the period 1993–2010, paying special attention to the presence of endogenously determined structural changes in the relationship between oil price changes and industry equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048806