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We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
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In various agent-based models the stylized facts of financial markets (unit-roots, fat tails and volatility clustering) have been shown to emerge from the interactions of agents. However, the complexity of these models often limits their analytical accessibility. In this paper we show that even...
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predicting the fundamentals is a product of endogenous short-term speculation. For a given, positive level of residual payoff …
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This paper studies whether individual investors have information advantage before earnings announcements on an emerging market using a unique data set of TWSE. Consistent with existing research on American market, it is surprising that pre-event individual investor trading is also positively...
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