The objective of data mining is the extraction of knowledge from databases. In practice, one often encounters difficulties with models that are constructed purely by search, without incorporation of knowledge about the domain of application.In economic decision making such as credit loan...

In this note, we consider the problem of classifying the elements of a parameter ensemble from a Bayesian hierarchical model as above or below a given threshold, C. Two threshold classification losses (TCLs)–termed balanced TCL and p-weighted TCL, respectively–are formulated. The p-weighted...

This paper is concerned with estimation of a predictive density with parametric constraints under Kullback–Leibler loss. When an invariance structure is embedded in the problem, general and unified conditions for the minimaxity of the best equivariant predictive density estimator are derived....

Orthodox decision theory gives no advice to agents who hold two goods to be incommensurate in value because such agents will have incomplete preferences. According to standard treatments, rationality requires complete preferences, so such agents are irrational. Experience shows, however, that...

Motivated by a real-life situation, we put forward a model and then derive an optimal strategy that maximizes the expected real-estate selling price when one of the only two remaining buyers has already made an offer but the other one is yet to make. Since the seller is not sure whether the...

When we face a decision matter we do not face a frozen-time where all keep still while we are making a decision, but the time goes by and the probability distribution keeps moving by new available information. In this paper I want to build up the mathematical framework of a special kind of...

This study establishes necessary conditions for Almost Stochastic Dominance criteria of various orders. These conditions take the form of restrictions on algebraic combinations of moments of the probability distributions in question. The relevant set of conditions depends on the relevant order...

How can a decision-maker assess the potential of environmental policies when a group of experts provides divergent estimates on their effectiveness? To address this question, we propose and analyze a variant of the well-studied $\alpha$-maxmin model in decision theory. In our framework, and...