The present study reviews the literature about dynamic decision-making and judgment of low-probability, high-consequence events. The specific features of this situation under risk and uncertainty imply an anomaly: while the single probability of an event with high negative consequences may be...

Humans are notoriously bad at understanding probabilities, exhibiting a host of biases and distortions that are context dependent. This has serious consequences on how we assess risks and make decisions. Several theories have been developed to replace the normative rational expectation theory at...