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by using only actual data when estimating models augmented with news shocks. This paper additionally exploits forecast … empirical evidence that technology news shocks are a major source of fluctuations in U.S. output growth. Exploiting the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847203
only actual data but also forecast data. The estimation results show new empirical evidence that anticipated future … technology shocks are the most important driving force of U.S. business cycles. The use of the forecast data makes the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014173436
shock and to further decompose each one into "news" and "surprise" shocks. We estimate a VAR on US time series using … forecast data from the SPF, CBO, Federal Reserve, and asset prices. Unanticipated fiscal stimulus and interest rate shocks we …
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This working paper evaluates the economic sources of the stock market responses of 40 countries to surprises in the fed funds rate (FFR), the Fed's forward guidance (FG) and large-scale asset purchases (LSAP). We decompose stock market returns into different components reflecting investors'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520011
In prior literature it was conjectured that the Indian stock market responses on domestic macroeconomic surprises are expected to be significantly influenced by global surprises. In this paper we empirically established that hypothesis. We used both the Event Analysis and VAR model. We found...
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