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Using a value-weighted rather than an equally weighted regression, Easton and Sommers (2007) show that the upward bias … significant. In this paper, we argue that any estimation of a forward risk premium implies a joint test of analysts' optimism and … that the impact of any bias attributable to analysts' forecasts can be reduced to a statistically insignificant 0 …
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. Furthermore, a model that combines a naïve benchmark (last year's earnings) with the analyst long-term earnings growth forecast …
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