was an excellent predictor of older age mortality from ischemic heart disease or stroke. Changes in frame size explain … roughly three-fifths of the mortality decline among white men between 1915 and 1988 and predict even sharper declines in older … age mortality between 1988 and 2022. Data accompanying this paper can be found at <a href="http://www.nber.org/gould">www.nber.org/gould</a> …