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We study how domestic and global output gaps affect CPI inflation. We use a New-Keynesian Phillips curve framework …1-2017Q4 period. We find broadly that both global and domestic output gaps are significant drivers of inflation both in … output gaps on inflation. …
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alternative monetary policy strategies. We start with the relationship between output and inflation and investigate the fit of the … reject the nominal contracting model in favor of the relative contracting model which induces more inflation persistence, we … in countries which transitioned out of a high inflation regime such as France and Italy. We close the model by estimating …
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useful for predicting inflation. In addition, countries where slack (and potential growth) is overestimated to a larger …
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In the past five years, the inflation in the euro area has been well below the European Central Bank’s (ECB) aimed … inflation rate of close to but below two percent for achieving its objective of price stabilization in the medium term. The … present analysis shows that expectations of low inflation, rising cyclical unemployment, and external factors such as low …
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