The Korean economy grew at an annual average rate of 3% in 2011-2018, which appears to be a downward trend and not a temporary setback. A prolonged growth accounting reveals that the Korean economy will likely grow to a low-to-mid 2% (annual average) in the 2020s when productivity is expected to...

The world economy is emerging from the throes of a historically deep and synchronized recession provoked by the bursting of a global financial bubble. The consequences of the initial bubble and the crisis have been felt in virtually every economy, whether or not it participated directly in the...

The Great Recession and the subsequent period of subdued GDP growth in most advanced economies have highlighted the need for macroeconomic forecasters to account for sudden and deep recessions, periods of higher macroeconomic volatility, and fluctuations in trend GDP growth. In this paper, we...