It is well documented that bond excess returns are time-varying and that they can be explained by predetermined risk factors. This paper builds a theoretical model to forecast excess returns on treasury bonds in the context of China's unique monetary system. Empirical evidence shows that bond...

Central Government issues securities in financial markets to meet out its financial requirements for fulfilling its objectives towards overall economic and welfare development of the nation. Both money and capital markets help to float short term as well as long term securities before the public...