In this paper, we investigate whether credit spread curve information helps forecast the government bond yield curve and whether the joint dynamics of the government bond yields and credit spreads have structural changes. For this purpose, we use a joint dynamic Nelson-Siegel (DNS) model of the...

I employ a sign-identified vector autoregression (VAR) in foreign Treasury purchases and factors of the yield curve to estimate the dynamic impacts of foreign Treasury purchases on Treasury yields. Although a growing literature studies this question, it does not adequately address the...

We link equity and treasury bond markets via an informational channel. When macroeconomic state shifts are more probable, informed traders are more likely to have valid signals about fundamentals, so that uninformed traders are less willing to trade against informed ones. This implies low volume...

As financial development progresses, the maturity structure of bond yields plays a rising role not only in the financial system but also as a key transmission channel of monetary policy. China is likely to be no exception. However, specific characteristics in China’s bond markets raise two...

How does the additional debt issued by the government affect the term structure of interest rates? In this paper we identify Treasury supply shocks using intraday high-frequency data, by exploiting the institutional setup of the UK government bond primary market. We find that supply shocks have...

This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the period 1962-2021 using two different fractional integration approaches including Chebyshev polynomials and Fourier functions respectively. The results for both quarterly and...