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Speculation, in the spirit of Harrison and Kreps [1978], is introduced into a standard real business cycle model … generated by speculation for any model of beliefs - a factor of 1.5. A calibration based on diagnostic beliefs amplifies hours …
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This paper investigates whether short-term momentum and long-term reversal may emerge from the wealth reallocation process taking place in speculative markets. We assume that there are two classes of investors who trade long-lived assets by holding constantly rebalanced portfolios based on their...
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, neither asset price speculation nor shifting financial sentiment over the business cycle received in his work the kind of …
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This paper develops a new approach to explain why risk factors constructed from option returns are priced in the stock market. We decompose an option- based factor into three main components and identify the one responsible for the beta-return relationship. Applying this method to the bear risk...
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