This paper investigates the extent to which macro-economic variables govern the dynamics of emerging market sovereign CDS spreads. I propose a structural model of sovereign credit risk based on a country's access to international capital flows through exports, imports and international reserves....

We test whether credit risk for Emerging Market Sovereigns is priced equally in the credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets. The parity relationship between CDS premiums and bond yield spreads, that was tested and largely cofirmed in the literature, is mostly rejected. Prices below par can...

We empirically assess the relative importance of various economic fundamentals in accounting for the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads of emerging markets during 2004-2012, which encompasses the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. Inflation, state fragility, external debt, and...

This study investigates the tail dependence structures of sovereign credit default swaps (CDSs) and three global risk factors in BRICS countries using a copula approach, which is popular for capturing the “true” tail dependence based on the “distribution-adjusted” joint marginals. The...