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This paper reinterprets Maganelli's (2009) idea of "Forecasting with Judgment" to obtain a dynamic algorithm for combining survey data and time series models for macroeconomic forecasting. Unlike existing combination approaches which typically assign weights to alternative forecasts, the...
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metrics were able to predict the Great Recession and the economic slowdown in Europe just prior to the COVID pandemic. …
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Recession and the economic slowdown in Europe just prior to the COVID19 pandemic …
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