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The authors study a simple model of an asset market with informed and non-informed agents. In the absence of non-informed agents, the market becomes information efficient when the number of traders with different private information is large enough. Upon introducing non-informed agents, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299740
Kirman's ant model has been used to characterize the expectation formation of financial investors who are prone to herding. The model's original version suffers from the problem of N-dependence: its ability to replicate the statistical features of financial returns vanishes once the system size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299741
This agent-based financial market model is a generalization of the model of Westerhoff (The Use of Agent-Based Financial Market Models to Test the Effectiveness of Regulatory Policies) by traders who are allowed to have different investment horizons as introduced by Demary (Who Does a Currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299955
With a view to investigating the presence of adverse selection, we analyze determinants of private pension insurance uptake of German households in a probit model. Using survey data on savings and old-age provision, we find that subjective life expectancy is positively related with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300500
This paper investigates the purchases and redemptions of a large cross-sectional sample of German equity funds. We find that investors punish bad performance by selling their shares, but also have a tendency to sell winners. Investors in large fund families show higher sales and redemption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300703
We develop an agent-based financial market model in which agents follow technical and fundamental trading rules to determine their speculative investment positions. A central feature of our model is that we consider direct interactions between speculators due to which they may decide to change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300807
This study seeks to explore, how market efficiency changes, if ordinary traders receive fundamental news more or less often. We show that longer temporal information gaps lead to fewer but larger shocks and a reduction of the average noise level on the dynamics. The consequences of these effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300815
Die vorliegende Untersuchung analysiert die Auswirkungen einer erweiterten Besteuerung privater Veräußerungsgewinne im Geldvermögen. In diesem Zusammenhang werden auch weitere in jüngster Zeit diskutierte Reformoptionen analysiert.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300985
Inspired by the theory of social imitation (Weidlich 1970) and its adaptation to financial markets by the Coherent Market Hypothesis (Vaga 1990), we present a behavioral model of stock prices that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Using our dynamic stock price model, we develop a two factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301798
Technical trading strategies assume that past changes in prices help predict future changes. This makes sense if the past price trend reflects fundamental information that has not yet been fully incorporated in the current price. However, if the past price trend only reflects temporary pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302534