For a random walk with negative mean and heavy-tailed increment distribution F, it is well known that under suitable subexponential assumptions, the distribution [pi] of the maximum has a tail [pi](x,[infinity]) which is asymptotically proportional to . We supplement here this by a local result...

The autoregressive--ARCH (AR--ARCH) and autoregressive--GARCH (AR--GARCH) models, which allow for conditional heteroskedasticity and autoregression, reduce to random walk or white noise for some values of the parameters. We consider generalized versions of the AR--ARCH(1) and AR--GARCH(1,1)...

In general, the risk of joint extreme outcomes in financial markets can be expressed as a function of the tail dependence function of a high-dimensional vector after standardizing marginals. Hence, it is of importance to model and estimate tail dependence functions. Even for moderate dimension,...

We investigate some portfolio problems that consist of maximizing expected terminal wealth under the constraint of an upper bound for the risk, where we measure risk by the variance, but also by the Capital-at-Risk (CaR). The solution of the mean-variance problem has the same structure for any...

The purpose of this note is to correct an error in Baltrunas et al. (2004) [1], and to give a more detailed argument to a formula whose validity has been questioned over the years. These details close a gap in the proof of Theorem 4.1 as originally stated, the validity of which is...

In this article, we review the concept of a Lévy copula to describe the dependence structure of a bivariate compound Poisson process. In this first statistical approach we consider a parametric model for the Lévy copula and estimate the parameters of the full dependent model based on a maximum...

Let [psi]i(u) be the probability of ruin for a risk process which has initial reserve u and evolves in a finite Markovian environment E with initial state i. Then the arrival intensity is [beta]j and the claim size distribution is Bj when the environment is in state j[set membership, variant]E....

With the df F of the rv X we associate the natural exponential family of df's F[lambda] wheredF[lambda](x)=e[lambda]x dF(x)/Ee[lambda]Xfor . Assume [lambda][infinity]=sup [Lambda][less-than-or-equals, slant][infinity] does not lie in [Lambda]. Let [lambda][short up arrow][lambda][infinity], then...

Let be a discrete time moving average process based on i.i.d. symmetric random variables {Zt} with a common distribution function from the domain of normal attraction of a p-stable law (0 p 2). We derive the limit distribution of the normalized periodogram . This generalizes the classical...

We consider Poisson shot noise processes that are appropriate to model stock prices and provide an economic reason for long-range dependence in asset returns. Under a regular variation condition we show that our model converges weakly to a fractional Brownian motion. Whereas fractional Brownian...