This paper investigates how inflation and its uncertainty impact GDP growth in eight Central and Eastern European … Countries. Inflation uncertainty series are created examining several GARCH models in combination with three different … distribution functions, while the nonlinear effect of inflation and its uncertainty on GDP growth is assessed in the Bayesian …

This paper studies uncertainty using the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters' data. We consider both inflation and … are based on subjective probability distributions of survey respondents. Our analysis indicates that individual inflation … inflation uncertainty has a negative impact on economic activity by decreasing output growth and increasing inflation and …