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We develop a general mandate framework for delegating monetary policy to an instrument-independent, but goal-dependent central bank. The goal of the mandate consists of: (i) a simple quadratic a loss function that penalizes deviations from target macroeconomic variables; (ii) a form of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014093260
In this article, we study the optimal simple monetary policy rules under the Zero Lower Bound using DSGE model. The model economy is open and highly dependent on the terms of trade. Economic dynamics is the result of a terms of trade shock and an external interest rate shock. Using the impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230906
We study an optimal robust monetary policy for a small open economy. The robust control approach assumes that economic agents cannot assign probabilities to a set of plausible models and rather focuses on the worst possible misspecification from a benchmark model. Our findings suggest that,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464822
Optimal monetary policy studies typically rely on a single structural model and identification of model-specific rules that minimize the unconditional volatilities of inflation and real activity. In our proposed approach, we take a large set of structural models and look for the model-robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013545641
This paper shows that a shift from Ramsey optimal policy under short term commitment (based on a negative-feedback mechanism) to a Taylor rule (based on positive-feedback mechanism) in the new-Keynesian model is in fact a Hopf bifurcation, with opposite policy advice. The number of stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011660032
We argue that in seeking to insure against model uncertainty, monetary policy makers are often ready to trade ex-post performance for greater certainty in the outcome. They thus look for rules that although not optimal ex post, have certain properties that qualify them as robust. We apply first,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756968
The uniqueness of bounded local equilibria under interest rate rules is analyzed in a model with sticky information `a la Mankiw and Reis (2002). The main results are tighter bounds on monetary policy than in sticky-price models, irrelevance of the degree of output-gap targeting for determinacy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770783
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530452
In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790688
The never ending debate on the optimal money elasticity and predictability, coupled with the recent wishes of the major central banks to normalize monetary policy, as well as to revise their best practices, motivate this paper. Its aim is to offer a review of the evolution of the modern concept...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257290