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Using monthly stock and bond return data in the past 150 years (1855-2001) for both the U.S. and the U.K., this study documents time-varying stock-bond correlation over macroeconomic conditions (the business cycle, the inflation environment and monetary policy stance). There are different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722334
If asset returns have systematic skewness, expected returns should include rewards for accepting this risk. This idea can be extended to two different asset classes: stocks and bonds. There are two systematic skewness measures: stock co-skewness (the relation between stock return and bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726623
This study examines the joint evolution of risk-neutral stock index and bond yield volatilities by using the Chicago Board Option Exchange S&P500 volatility index (VIX) and the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Treasury Option Volatility Estimate Index (MOVE). I use bivariate regime-switching models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057996
We document asymmetric networks of implied volatility spillovers across global stock and commodity markets as well as the US Treasury market. There are significant asymmetries in the roles of US stock and bond markets as volatility suppliers to other countries and markets. Shocks from the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989008
We apply a jump GARCH model to daily returns of the ten largest international securitized real estate markets and investigate the sources of large price changes. We document, for the first time, evidence for jump dynamics across major international securitized real estate markets. Large price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044490
We examine hedging benefits of safe-haven currencies in terms of currency co-skewness with the global stock market (covariance between currency return and global equity volatility) derived from a Markov regime switching model. Of the major currencies, the US dollar, the Japanese yen and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916962
The conventional wisdom that housing prices are the present value of future rents ignores the fact that unlike dividends on stocks, rent is not discretionary. Housing price uncertainty can affect household property investments, which in turn affect rent. By extending the theory of investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928877
Panel quantile regression models play an important role in real applications of finance, econometrics, insurance and risk management. However, direct estimates of the extreme conditional quantiles may lead unstable results due to data sparsity on the tail regions. Moreover, the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234865
We study minute-by-minute behavior of the VIX index and trading activity in the underlying S&P 500 options to understand the impact of macro and microeconomic forces on risk neutral volatility. VIX often increases with macroeconomic news, reflects the credibility of Fed monetary stimulus, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292369