In this article, we test the effects of the volatility of Gaussian distribution monthly returns of commodity futures contracts of a hedge fund portfolio. We test a linear Gaussian state space model and the Kalman filter ARMA(2,4) model of the natural logarithmic monthly market returns of the of...

This study presents a hedge fund portfolio choice model for an investor facing ambiguity. In the empirical section, we measure ambiguity as the cross-sectional dispersion in Industrial Production growth and in stock market return forecasts, and we construct the systematic ambiguity factors from...