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This paper proposes a rating methodology that is based on a non-linear classification method, the support vector machine, and a non-parametric technique for mapping rating scores into probabilities of default. We give an introduction to underlying statistical models and represent the results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275865
In many economic applications it is desirable to make future predictions about the financial status of a company. The focus of predictions is mainly if a company will default or not. A support vector machine (SVM) is one learning method which uses historical data to establish a classification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275893
for Germany is derived through a stochastic population renewal process using forecasts of mortality, fertility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275908
This paper investigates how media coverage in°uences macroeconomic information processing at the bond market. I provide evidence that a high media coverage of an economic topic increases investor attention prior to the release of the corresponding economic indicator: High media coverage of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276033
Observing prices of European put and call options, we calibrate exponential Lévy models nonparametrically. We discuss the implementation of the spectral estimation procedures for Lévy models of finite jump activity as well as for self-decomposable Lévy models and improve these methods....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281479
provided by the drawdown of U.S. military forces in West Germany after the end of the Cold War to investigate this question. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281485
and long run, as well as in East and West Germany. Wage returns to the changes of task porfolios for the occupational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281489
local labor markets in Germany between 1979 and 2007. In order to directly relate technological change to subsequent … polarization in Germany in the sense that employment growth deteriorates at the middle of the skill distribution relative to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281492
This paper employs a new and comprehensive data set to investigate short-term herding behavior of institutional investors. Using data of all transactions made by financial institutions in the German stock market, we show that herding behavior occurs on a daily basis. However, in contrast to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281493
We exploit the natural experiment of the 2005 income tax reform in Germany to study the effects of tax incentives on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281497