Two methods for evolving forward the yield curve are evaluated and contrasted within a Monte Carlo experiment: one is originally presented by Rebonato et al. (2005) and the other by Bernadell et al. (2005). A detailed account for how to implement the models is also presented. Results suggest...

This note presents a simple, robust and computationally efficient way to calculate expectations of arbitrary future payoffs within the context of a Monte Carlo forward-induction methodology. The technique complements existing approximation techniques: while virtually all existing approximation...

We investigate the statistical properties of drawdowns and drawups in interest rates (US$) using over 10 years' worth of daily data. We analyse the nature of the drawdowns in terms of length of runs, magnitude of the individual price moves and coincidence of their occurrence across the maturity...

We look at the dependence of the magnitude of rate moves on the level of rates, and we find a universal relationship that holds across currencies and over a very extended period of time (almost 50 years). For the very low level of rates, we find a proportional behaviour; for rates of an...

We propose a method to integrate frequentist and subjective probabilities in order to obtain a coherent asset allocation in the presence of stress events. Our working assumption is that in normal market asset returns are sufficiently regular for frequentist statistical techniques to identify...

"This is the best of Rebonato's books. The conversational spirit of the previous manuscripts is here pleasantly retained. But, the value added is the mathematical rigor that permeates the description of the proposed model. Definitely a must." Fabio Mercurio, Senior Quantitative Analyst,...