In July 2002 the First International Conference on "Probing the Future: Developing Organisational Foresight in the Knowledge Economy", was organised by Hari Tsoukas and Jill Sheppard, and held at the University of Strathclyde, Graduate School of Business, in Glasgow. This conference resulted in...

This paper presents a case analysis of a successful scenario intervention in an organization. This intervention is compared and contrasted with an unsuccessful one reported in Hodgkinson and Wright [Confronting strategic inertia in a top management team: learning from failure, Organization...

In this paper, we examine the impact of information and communications technologies (ICT) on government departments/agencies and the contribution of external agents to change and development programs. We present empirical evidence of externally facilitated change to mindsets and patterns of...

This paper discusses three characteristics of subjective probabilities, their consistency, coherence and calibration and shows how they are inter-related. We review research that has investigated these characteristics and evaluate methods that have been developed for the improvement of...