Measures of expected inflation from consumer surveys are derived using a modification of the Carlson-Parkin probability approach, which does not assume unbiasedness of expectations, makes use of survey data on expected future as well as perceived past price developments and allows for time...

We review the literature regarding the impact of financial innovation on the monetary transmission mechanism and on the way the central bank can achieve its ultimate goal, that is to control the price level. We argue that, although the form ofcentral bank instruments and current methods for...

We review the literature regarding the impact of financial innovation on the monetary transmission mechanism and on the way the central bank can achieve its ultimate goal, that is to control the price level. We argue that, although the form ofcentral bank instruments and current methods for...

This note quantifies the movements in the distribution of future short-term market interest rates in reaction to the selection of countries that were to participate in stage three of Economic and Monetary Union as of 1 January 1999. We conclude that, before the various national central banks and...

This note focuses on uncovered interest parity (UIP) in the short and medium run using survey-based exchange rate expectations. Analysing the major world currencies over the period 1985-1998 the paper finds that the validity of the UIP relation increases with the term of the investment, thereby...