Das vorliegende Diskussionspapier untersucht methodische Änderungen der Saisonbereinigung, die mit dem Übergang von Census X-ll zu X-12-ARIMA verbunden sind, und ihre Konsequenzen für die Analyse der aktuellen Wirtschaftsentwicklung, wie sie in der Deutschen Bundesbank vorgenommen wird. Die...

This paper discusses various approaches to decompose economic time series into their trend and cyclical components. For over 30 years now, the Deutsche Bundesbank publishes trend-adjusted indicators in its Statistical Supplement 4 entitled Seasonally Adjusted Business Statistics which are...

This paper discusses various approaches to decompose economic time series into their trend and cyclical components. For over 30 years now, the Deutsche Bundesbank publishes trend-adjusted indicators in its Statistical Supplement 4 entitled Seasonally Adjusted Business Statisticsʺ which are...