Following a weak start into 2015, the global economy is expected to pick up again in the course of this year. Average annual world output growth will nevertheless remain sluggish at 3.4 percent on a purchasing power parity weighted basis, before accelerating modestly to 3.8 percent next year....

Economic Recovery in the Euro Area has lost momentum in the second half of 2015. Due to dampening effects from the world economy and a marked increase in political uncertainty, a number of sentiment indicators also point downwards. Nevertheless, domestic demand increased rather strongly, while...

Broker-dealer leverage has recently proven to be strongly procyclical, exhibiting impressive explanatory power for a large cross-section of asset returns in the US. In this paper we add empirical evidence to this finding, showing that European and German broker-dealers actively manage their...

We show that excess returns to the carry trade can be interpreted as compensation for foreign exchange dealers' capital risk. Given that the top market makers in foreign exchange are at the heart of the market's information aggregation process we also suggest that it is their marginal value of...

This thesis covers the further development of smooth transition regression models and their applications in finance. Smooth transition regression models are used to model nonlinearity of regime-switching type in empirical applications. Usually, smooth transition regression models are used with...

25 Jahre nach Abschluss des Maastricht-Vertrages gibt es durchaus Zweifel an dessen Erfolg. Die Autoren zeigen auf, dass nur die Kernländer der Europäischen Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion eine dauerhafte Konvergenz ihrer wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung erlebten. Daher halten sie die gemeinsame...

Die politische und wirtschaftliche Integration Europas, besonders auch die gemeinsame Währung, haben die Verflechtung der Finanzmärkte wesentlich vorangetrieben. Mit der zunehmenden Diversifizierung von Beteiligungskapital wurde die internationale Konsumglättung gefördert. Dies lässt sich...