This research applies data from the Livingston survey to study the time variation in the sentiment of U.S. stock-market forecasters. A Panel Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model is estimated to identify the importance of market conditions summarized by stock-market misalignments and recent...

This paper uses the order book for 2007 and 2008 of a key Euro area market maker in the unsecured money market to estimate a stylized pricing model which explicitly accounts for the over - the - counter structure and the unsecured nature of these transactions. The empirical results suggest that...

We analyze the trading book of a key market maker in the European unsecured money market and study the extent to which liquidity risks accumulated by this market maker affect his pricing of liquidity and the bid/ask spread he quotes on unsecured borrowing and lending. We find that the larger the...

We develop an empirical model of heterogeneous agents to study the dynamics of the European sovereign bonds market. Agents make use of different information from the CDS market and the historical price movements of the sovereign bonds for their trading decisions. Subject to the perceived risk,...

In this study a regime switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (c&f) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The c&f model is tested against alternative regime switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested...

Foreign exchange rates and capital movements are expected to be closely related to each other as international capital markets become more and more integrated. To account for this fact we construct an index of real effective exchange rates as a weighted average of cross-country asset price...

[Einleitung] Die enormen Preisanstiege auf fast allen Märkten für Rohstoffe und landwirtschaftliche Grunderzeugnisse werden in Politik und Öffentlichkeit mit der zunehmenden Spekulationstätigkeit und allgemein der fortschreitenden Finanzialisierung' der Märkte in Verbindung gebracht. Das...

Global factors are becoming increasingly important as a cause of international capital flows. It is nearly impossible for some countries to protect themselves from outside influences on their financial markets. This paper investigates the extent to which various global factors such as stock...

Broker-dealer leverage has recently proven to be strongly procyclical, exhibiting impressive explanatory power for a large cross-section of asset returns in the US. In this paper we add empirical evidence to this finding, showing that European and German broker-dealers actively manage their...

25 Jahre nach Abschluss des Maastricht-Vertrages gibt es durchaus Zweifel an dessen Erfolg. Die Autoren zeigen auf, dass nur die Kernländer der Europäischen Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion eine dauerhafte Konvergenz ihrer wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung erlebten. Daher halten sie die gemeinsame...