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A large body of the literature argues that the soundness of financial system is largely determined by the economic and institutional environment in which the financial system works. Drawing on this theoretical underpinning, research in this thesis models financial soundness indicators (FSIs)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009482161
Maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters of stochastic differential equations are consistent and asymptotically efficient, but unfortunately difficult to obtain if a closed-form expression for the transitional probability density function of the process is not available. As a result, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009483276
We propose an identified structural GARCH model to disentangle the dynamics of financial market crises. We distinguish between the hypersensitivity of a domestic market in crisis to news from foreign non-crisis markets, and the contagion imported to a tranquil domestic market from foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009484310
This paper is a comment on P.C.B. Phillips, “To criticise the critics: an objective Bayesian analysis of stochastic trends” [Phillips (1990)]. Departing from the likelihood of an univariate autoregressive model different routes that lead to a posterior odds analysis of the unit root...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372852
Genetic algorithms have been used by economists to model the process by which a population of heterogeneous agents learn how to optimize a given objective. However, most general equilibrium models in use today presume that agents already know how to optimize. If agents face any uncertainty, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707706
This paper sets out the theoretical foundations for continuous-time signal extraction in econometrics. Continuous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005393982