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, then long-run risk generates insufficient exchange rate volatility. A long-run risk model with recursive-preferences can … generate realistic exchange rate volatility, if all agents efficiently share their consumption risk by trading in complete … volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044499
in consumption is important to duplicate the exchange rate volatility and exchange rate disconnect documented in the data … volatility while leaving the volatility of real macroeconomic variables, such as GDP, almost untouched. The model predicts the … volatility of the real exchange rate relative to that of GDP increases with the extent of home bias. This relation is strongly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707889
documented in literature, including high persistence, and excess volatility and co-movement compared with real interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239069
in explaining the exchange rate disconnect, excess volatility, and the uncovered interest parity (UIP) puzzles. We embed … vs. volatility shocks and linear vs. higher-order approximations, we find that shocks to macroeconomic fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211076
that public expenditure innovation has a significant depreciating trend impact on exchange rate volatility, and its impact … volatility does not rely on the direction of the innovation, it varies according to the state of the economy. Public expenditure … innovation has a depreciating trend impact on exchange rate volatility in the upturn state, and mostly an appreciating trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012509885
We provide a novel daily decomposition of the real exchange rate that exploits a direct link between bond and foreign exchange (FX) markets. Real exchange rate dynamics can be attributed to changes in the expected future level of the exchange rate; cross-country differentials of expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175434
This paper estimates the arbitrage costs from international relative prices, and studies the economic determinants of implied arbitrage costs. We find that the magnitude of arbitrage costs depends on the characteristics of both the type of good and set of locations under examination. More...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076743
In this paper we revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we develop a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753853
Yuan real effective exchange rate misalignment is estimated in a behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) model for the period 1997 to third quarter 2007. Using the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition a vector error correction model (VECM) of the exchange rate as a function of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720064
post-Bretton Woods US dollar-pound sterling exchange rate and show that the excess volatility of the exchange rate return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597237