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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264394
We develop a belief-based account of decision under uncertainty. This model predicts decisions under uncertainty from … (i) judgments of probability, which are assumed to satisfy support theory; and (ii) decisions under risk, which are … assumed to satisfy prospect theory. In two experiments, subjects evaluated uncertain prospects and assessed the probability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009214756
Keynes's economic thought underwent a major transition during the course of his life; in recent years a debate has arisen over whether Keynes's philosophical thought underwent a similar transition. This paper argues that, despite the existence of significant continuities, Keynes's philosophical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009221642
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391237
The adoption of investment solutions uncertainty factors provide project risk, i.e. the risk of loss of resources …, incomplete acquisition of the required income and occurrence unexpected expenses. The presence of different types uncertainty … that allow to formalize different types of uncertainty. Among the various methods of modeling under uncertainty it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009401108
The proof of the theorem of existence of the ruptures, namely the proof of maximality, is improved. The theorem may be used in economics and explain the well-known problems such as Allais’ paradox. Illustrated examples of ruptures are presented.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009403452
This paper examines the decline in use of the Knight-Keynes uncertainty concept in mainstream economics. Using … uncertainty concept is additionally related to the increasing mathematical formalization of economics and to the prevalence of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009353390
The theorem of existence of the ruptures in the probability scale was proved in 2010. The theorem is used to analyze …, including application of the theorem. Its most significant result: when uncertainty increases, then taking the theorem into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369617
concentrates on Keynes’s Treatise on Probability and discusses how Keynes applied his philosophy of probability to decision … agents behave under uncertainty, and that the violations of the Bayesian creed scrutinized in behavioural finance, and in … frequency probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010555610
A theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proven. The theorem can be used, e.g., in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596366