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We consider optimal stopping problems for ambiguity averse decision makers with multiple priors. In general, backward induction fails. If, however, the class of priors is time-consistent, we establish a generalization of the classical theory of optimal stopping. To this end, we develop first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272620
under uncertainty about the value of environmental services and irreversible development. We study land conversion under … adequate participation in a conservation plan. We analytically determine the impact of uncertainty and optimal policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279427
landholders under uncertainty about the value of environmental services and irreversible development. We study land conversion … Government to induce adequate participation in a conservation plan. We study the impact of uncertainty on the optimal conversion … of deforestation. Interestingly, we show that uncertainty, even if it induces conversion postponement in the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279632
climate changes faster, and increases if uncertainty is higher. For long-lived investments, these effects reverse. This has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013475329
with infinite horizon. Uncertainty comes from prices, which is summarized in a state variable that follows a Brownian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392380
In this paper we study a two-player investment game with a first mover advantage in continuous time with stochastic payoffs, driven by a geometric Brownian motion. One of the players is assumed to be ambiguous with maxmin preferences over a strongly rectangular set of priors. We develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282341
The socioeconomic impact of pollution naturally comes with uncertainty due to, e.g., current new technological … scenario will be realised and the scientific debate is still open. This paper captures those two layers of uncertainty by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374579
We investigate within a continuous time setting how Knightian uncertainty characterized by k-ignorance affects the … optimal timing policies of a risk-neutral and uncertainty averse investor in the case where the exercise payoff is monotonic …. We prove that increased Knightian uncertainty unambiguously decreases the value of the optimal timing policy of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012502979
). -- Optimal stopping ; Ambiguity ; Uncertainty aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003731193
We analyze several exotic options of American style in a multiple prior setting and study the optimal exercise strategy from the perspective of an ambiguity averse buyer in a discrete time model of Cox-Ross-Rubinstein style. The multiple prior model relaxes the assumption of a known distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003921365