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We study business cycles with cyclical returns to scale. Contrary to tightly parameterized production functions (Cobb-Douglas and Constant Elasticity of Substitution), we empirically identify strong input complementarity that leads to procyclical returns to scale. We therefore propose a flexible...
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models suggest that a shortfall in productivity-enhancing investments temporarily slows technological progress, creating a …-level exposure to the 2008-9 financial crisis, I show that tight credit reduced investments in productivity-enhancement, and has … 12% higher today if productivity-enhancing investments had grown at pre-crisis rates. …
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the market during bad times. Second, when we look at total factor productivity (TFP), we don't see a clear "cleansing …
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