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The literature has so far focused on the risk-return tradeoff in equity markets and ignored alternative risky assets. This paper examines the presence and significance of an intertemporal relation between expected return and risk in the foreign exchange market. The paper provides new evidence on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712397
This paper presents a comprehensive study of continuous time GARCH modeling with the thin-tailed normal and the fat-tailed Student-t and generalized error distributions. The paper measures the degree of mean reversion in stock return volatility based on the relationship between discrete time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012713184
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the short-term interest-rate dynamics based on three different data sets and two flexible parametric specifications. The significance of nonlinearity in the short-rate drift declines with increasing maturity for the interest-rate series used in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012713426
This paper provides statistical learning techniques for determining the full own-price market impact and the relevance and effect of cross-price and cross-asset spillover channels from intraday transactions data. The novel tools allow extracting comprehensive information contained in the limit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012614016
A major concern in business valuation is how to derive a beta value that adequately represents the assessment of long-term risk for a company. Against this background Morningstar (2013), Bloomberg and Thomson Reuters recommend adjusting betas estimated for company valuation purposes (using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035145
We derive a measure of aggregate systemic risk, designated CATFIN, that complements bank-specific systemic risk measures by forecasting macroeconomic downturns six months into the future using out-of-sample tests conducted with US, European and Asian bank data. Consistent with bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037278
We propose a new approach to optimal portfolio selection in a downside risk framework that allocates assets by maximizing expected return subject to a shortfall probability constraint, reflecting the typical desire of a risk-averse investor to limit the maximum likely loss. Our empirical results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148785
Investors show different behaviour in falling markets and in rising markets. This paper demonstrates that the beta of individual stocks varies across the entire return distribution and that the variation depends on the frequency of the returns. While there is a symmetric u-shape increase for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148953
This paper provides statistical learning techniques for determining the full own-price market impact and the relevance and effect of cross-price and cross-asset spillover channels from intraday transactions data. The novel tools allow extracting comprehensive information contained in the limit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246745
This paper introduces a conditional extreme value volatility estimator (EVT) based on high-frequency returns. The relative performance of the extreme value volatility estimator is compared with the discrete-time GARCH and implied volatility models for 1-day and 20-day-ahead forecasts of realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755438