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Although the main interest in the modelling of electricity prices is often on volatility aspects, we argue that stochastic heteroskedastic behaviour in prices can only be modelled correctly when the conditional mean of the time series is properly modelled. In this paper we consider different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137027
Much of the research describing the cross-sectional and time series behavior of asset returns can be characterized as a search for the relevant state variables and also a search for the relevant model specification. Ultimately the scope of such efforts is to find a satisfactory and stable asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100814
Subordinated stochastic processes, also called time deformed stochastic processes, have been proposed in a variety of contexts to describe asset price behavior. They are used when the movement of prices is tied to the number of market transactions, trading volume or the more illusive concept of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101080
In this paper, we study stochastic volatility models with time deformation. Such processes relate to early work by Mandelbrot and Taylor (1967), Clark (1973), Tauchen and Pitts (1983), among others. In our setup, the latent process of stochastic volatility evolves in a operational time which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101089
Risk management and the thorough understanding of the relations between financial markets and the standard theory of macroeconomics have always been among the topics most addressed by researchers, both financial mathematicians and economists. This work aims at explaining investors’ behavior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005677974
This thesis comprises four papers concerning modelling of financial count data. Paper [1], [2] <p> and [3] advance the integer-valued moving average model (INMA), a special case of integer-valued <p> autoregressive moving average (INARMA) model class, and apply the models to the number of <p> stock...</p></p></p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651931
This thesis comprises two papers concerning modelling of financial count data. The papers advance the integer-valued moving average model (INMA), a special case of integer-valued autoregressive moving average (INARMA) model class, and apply the models to the number of stock transactions in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651976
The effects of temporal aggregation on asymmetry properties and the kurtosis of returns based on the NYSE composite index are studied. There is less asymmetry in responses to shocks for weekly and monthly frequencies than for the daily frequency. Kurtosis is not smaller for the lower frequencies.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005652013
A vector integer-valued moving average (VINMA) model is introduced. <p> The VINMA model allows for both positive and negative correlations <p> between the counts. The conditional and unconditional first and second <p> order moments are obtained. The CLS and FGLS estimators are discussed. <p> The model is...</p></p></p></p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005652015
The integer-valued moving average model is advanced to model the number of transactions in intra-day data of stocks. The conditional mean and variance properties are discussed and model extensions to include, e.g., explanatory variables are offered. Least squares and generalized method of moment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005652061