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This paper merges two specifications developed recently in the forecasting literature: the MS-MIDAS model introduced by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815990
schemes are based on the forecasting performances of a given set of models with the aim to provide better turning point …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010602931
deal with the forecasting performance of a given set of models and possibly providing better turning point predictions. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010705530
Interactions between eurozone and United States booms and busts and among major eurozone economies are analyzed by introducing a panel Markov-switching VAR model. The model is well suitable for a multi-country cyclical analysis and accommodates changes in low and high data frequencies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096286
This paper introduces regime switching parameters in the Mixed-Frequency VAR model. We first discuss estimation and inference for Markov-switching Mixed-Frequency VAR (MSMF-VAR) models. Next, we assess the finite sample performance of the technique in Monte-Carlo experiments. Finally, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083823
This paper develops a general perturbation methodology for constructing high-order approximations to the solutions of Markov-switching DSGE models. We introduce an important and practical idea of partitioning the Markov-switching parameter space so that a steady state is well defined. With this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083963
This paper explores the hypothesis that the sources of economic and financial crises differ from non-crisis business cycle fluctuations. We employ Markov-switching Bayesian vector autoregressions (MS-BVARs) to gather evidence about the hypothesis on a long annual U.S. sample running from 1890 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201582
Interactions between the eurozone and US booms and busts and among major eurozone economies are analyzed by introducing a panel Markov-switching VAR model well suitable for a multi-country cyclical analysis. The model accommodates changes in low and high data frequencies and endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256321
deal with the forecasting performance of a given set of models and possibly providing better turning point predictions. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256621
En este documento se investiga acerca de la existencia y la identificación de un ciclo económico común entre Colombia, Ecuador y Venezuela. Se busca una evidencia de la sincronización de los ciclos económicos de estos países, a través de diferentes medidas no paramétricas, en conformidad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010763821