Using term structure data of Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads for the four Japanese mega-banks and the government, we jointly estimate the default intensity and expected recovery (loss) given a default. In doing so, we attempt to further identify the difference in the expected recovery ratios...

This paper investigates the relative role of price discovery between two long-term swap contracts that exchange between the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen: cross-currency basis swap and FX (foreign exchange) swap. First, we show that these two swaps should be in a no-arbitrage relationship by...

This paper investigates (i) what has determined the land investment behavior of Japanese firms since the latter half of the 1980s; and (ii) how the current market prices of their land assets diverge from their shadow prices (marginal values of land investment). To do so, we estimate nonlinear...

This paper applies a survival analysis to individual hedge fund data reported in the Lipper TASS database. We use several methodologies including the non-parametric survival analysis, the Semi-parametric Cox proportional hazard analysis with shared frailty, and the logit analysis to assess the...

This paper investigates the macroeconomic sources of time-varying risk premia in Turkish REIT industry within the arbitrage pricing theory framework. Turkish REIT industry differs substantially from the global REIT market as Turkish REITs do not have to pay out dividends, yet enjoy the exemption...

Bu çalışma Türkiye’deki yatırımcıların hise senedi alım-satım davranışlarını analiz etmektedir. Bu analiz için 55 sorudan oluşan bir anket 85 kişi üzerinde uygulanmıştır ve yatırımcıların verdikleri cevaplar esas alınmıştır. Anket demografik özellikler, algılanan...

This paper investigates how reward-to-risk ratios compare among various government debt security (GDS) indices and sector indices in the Istanbul Stock Exchange. Risk is measured by either standard deviation or nonparametric and parametric value at risk. We find that the GDS indices have higher...

Bu çalışmanın amacı Fama ve French üç faktör modeline momentum faktörünün eklenmesiyle oluşturulan dört faktör modelinin İMKB’de hisse senedi getirilerini açıklama gücünün test edilmesidir. Çalışma Temmuz 1992 – Haziran 2008 döneminde (192 ay) İMKB’ye kote olmuş...

A flexible statistical approach for the analysis of time-varying dynamics of transaction data on financial markets is here applied to intra-day trading strategies. A local adaptive technique is used to successfully predict financial time series, i.e., the buyer and the seller-initiated trading...

This paper studies the dynamic behavior of stock price index of Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE). We use annual data from 1973-2008 to capture the long run and short run relationships of stock prices with various macroeconomic variables such as real interest rate, investment, money supply and...