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Cross-predictability denotes the fact that some assets can predict other assets' returns. I propose a novel performance-based measure that disentangles the economic value of cross-predictability into two components: the predictive power of one asset's signal for other assets' returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014584406
This study provides new evidence on the impact of climate physical risk (as measured by the Global Climate Risk Index (CRI) from Germanwatch) on stock market returns. Specifically, a panel model with fixed effects is estimated using annual data from 2007 to 2021 for a set of 65 countries as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014583812
Using data on institutional investors' bond holdings, we investigate the resilience of green bonds to the COVID-19 shock in a difference-in-differences framework. We find that during the COVID outbreak green bonds experience lower sales, on average, while in normal times no significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650022
This paper studies the evolution of the greenium, i.e. a risk premium linked to firms' greenness and environmental transparency, based on individual stock returns. We estimate an asset pricing model with time-varying risk premia, where the greenium is associated to a priced 'greenness and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813579
We develop a sovereign default risk index using natural language processing techniques and 10 million news articles covering over 100 countries. The index is a highfrequency measure of countries' default risk, particularly for those lacking marketbased measures: it correlates with sovereign CDS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190704
The trading of bonds and swaps largely relies on bank dealers as core market-makers. Dealers provide liquidity and trade the instruments with smaller or less active firms, in part by using their own balance sheets for inventory holding or hedging purposes. The reforms carried out in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014460615
Brunnermeier et al. (2017) propose the introduction of sovereign bond-backed securities (SBBS) in the euro area. That and other papers assess how the securitisation would insulate senior bond holders from actual default-related losses. This paper generalises the assessment by using the VAR-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848347
This paper investigates how the asset-return variance risk premium changes leverage. I find that the premium lowers leverage by increasing risk-neutral bankruptcy probability and costs in a model where asset returns have stochastic variance with risk premium. Empirically, the model calibrations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848389
In this paper, we show both theoretically and empirically that the size of over-the-counter (OTC) markets can be reduced without affecting individual net positions. First, we find that the networked nature of these markets generates an excess of notional obligations between the aggregate gross...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976943
Collateral plays a very important role in financial markets. Without easy access to high-quality collateral, dealers and market participants would find it more costly to trade, with a negative impact on market liquidity and the real economy through increased financing costs. The role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978326