L’enquête mensuelle de conjoncture de la Banque de France présente chaque mois un indicateur du climat des affaires dans l’industrie. Un indicateur similaire a été construit pour les services, en appliquant une méthode analogue, à savoir l’extraction d’un facteur d’évolution qui...

Being able to model yield curves from observed bond yields is essential in capital markets. Yield curves are required to accurately price financial products as well as to correctly assess the macroeconomic situation of economies. Current models based on the work of Nelson/Siegel et al. apply a...

Every month, the Banque de France’s Monthly Business Survey provides a business sentiment indicator for industry. A similar indicator has been constructed for services using a comparable method that consists in extracting a factor of change that is common to all the questions in the monthly...

The Choquet integral w.r.t. a capacity can be seen in the finite case as a parsimonious linear interpolator between vertices of $[0,1]^n$. We take this basic fact as a starting point to define the Choquet integral in a very general way, using the geometric realization of lattices and their...