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Asymptotic tail probabilities for bivariate linear combinations of subexponential random variables are given. These results are applied to explain the joint movements of the stocks of reinsurers. Portfolio investment and retrocession practices in the reinsurance industry, for reasons of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991125
Likelihoods and posteriors of econometric models with strong endogeneity and weak instruments may exhibit rather non-elliptical contours in the parameter space. This feature also holds for cointegration models when near non-stationarity occurs and determining the number of cointegrating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991126
Macroeconomic time series such as total unemployment or total industrial production concern data which are aggregated across regions, sectors, or age categories. In this paper we examine if forecasts for these aggregates can be improved by considering panel models for the disaggregate series. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991127
In this paper we introduce a new class of OR games: economic lot-sizing (ELS) games. There are a number of retailers that have a known demand for a fixed number of periods. To satisfy demand the retailers order products at the same manufacturer. By placing joint orders instead of individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991128
In this paper, we discuss the dynamic vehicle and crew scheduling problem and we propose a solution approach consisting of solving a sequence of optimization problems. Furthermore, we explain why it is useful to consider such a dynamic approach and compare it with a static one. Moreover, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991129
In this paper we address the question whether countries on the African continent have lower average growth rates in real GDP per capita than countries in Asia and Latin America. In contrast to previous studies, we do not aggregate the data, nor do we a priori assign countries to clusters....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991130
In this paper, we give an overview of state-of-the-art Operations Research models and techniques used in passenger railway transportation. For each planning phase (strategic, tactical and operational), we describe the planning problems arising there and discuss some models and algorithms to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991131
We propose a new periodic autoregressive model for seasonally observed time series, where the number of seasons can potentially be very large. The main novelty is that we collect the periodic parameters in a second-level stochastic model. This leads to a random-coefficient periodic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991132
Cyclical components in economic time series are analysed in a Bayesian framework, thereby allowing prior notions about periodicity to be used. The method is based on a general class of unobserved component models that encompasses a range of dynamics in the stochastic cycle. This allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991133
In this paper we present a new distribution concept called ‘floating stocks’, which uses intermodal transport to deploy inventories in a supply chain in advance of retailer demand. Supplying part of the demand directly by road compensates the longer transit time of this transport....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991134