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An approach to modeling dependent nonparametric random density functions is presented. This is based on the well known mixture of Dirichlet process model. The idea is to use a technique for constructing dependent random variables, first used for dependent gamma random variables. While the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008864258
This paper uses free-knot and fixed-knot regression splines in a Bayesian context to develop methods for the nonparametric estimation of functions subject to shape constraints in models with log-concave likelihood functions. The shape constraints we consider include monotonicity, convexity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008866562
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This paper develops a new family of Bayesian semi-parametric models. A particular member of this family is used to model option prices with the aim of improving out-of-sample predictions. A detailed empirical analysis is made for European index call and put options to illustrate the ideas.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010690888
This article introduces a new family of Bayesian semiparametric models for the conditional distribution of daily stock index returns. The proposed models capture key stylized facts of such returns, namely, heavy tails, asymmetry, volatility clustering, and the "leverage effect." A Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010710920
We show that the cumulative distribution function corresponding to a kernel density estimator with optimal bandwidth lies outside any confidence interval, around the empirical distribution function, with probability tending to 1 as the sample size increases.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005319124
Let Ω be a space of densities with respect to some "σ"-finite measure "μ" and let <b>Π</b> be a prior distribution having support Ω with respect to some suitable topology. Conditional on "f", let <b>X</b>-super-<b>n</b> = ("X"<sub>1</sub>&hairsp;,…, &hairsp;"X"<sub>"n"</sub>) be an independent and identically distributed sample of size <b>"n"</b>...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005324588
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In this paper we introduce two general non-parametric first-order stationary time-series models for which marginal (invariant) and transition distributions are expressed as infinite-dimensional mixtures. That feature makes them the first Bayesian stationary fully non-parametric models developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322563
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